Thursday, April 9, 2009

Tornadoes possible in OK/KS/MO this afternoon

A very narrow area of isolated supercell activity is possible in northeast Oklahoma, southeast Kansas, and southwest Missouri later this afternoon. Tornadoes are also possible in eastern and southeastern Oklahoma along with much of Arkansas this evening and overnight. I will be heading solo to Vinita, Oklahoma this afternoon, hoping to catch a rogue tornado before the whole shabang goes linear. It is still early in the season, and these will be fast-movers over an area with a less-than-stellar road network and a lot of hills and trees. It beats the jungles of SE Oklahoma and Arkansas though, which is a big reason why I chose this target. Below is the RUC forecast CAPE for 0z. Note the bubble of 3000+ in NE Oklahoma. Instability, moisture, and wind shear should all be in place, so this will be an interesting afternoon! More updates as events warrant.


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